── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Alexei Popyrin a slight 53% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Quentin Halys
Alexei Popyrin
47%53%
Hard: 57% / 43%
Clay: 40% / 60%
Grass: 61% / 39%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Quentin Halys
75th · strong
Alexei Popyrin
74th · strong
Return
Quentin Halys
13th · poor
Alexei Popyrin
32th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#88
model rank
#75
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
FRA
country
AUS
191cm
height
196cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Quentin HalysAlexei Popyrin
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard20
Clay22
Grass10
── 7 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-01-04BrisbaneHardR32Quentin Halys5-7 6-3 6-4
2023-04-24Madrid MastersClayR128Quentin Halys4-6 6-4 6-4
2022-07-11NewportGrassR32Quentin Halys7-6(5) 6-3
2022-05-09Bordeaux CHClayFAlexei Popyrin2-6 7-6(5) 7-6(4)
2020-09-07Aix En Provence CHClayR32Quentin Halys7-5 6-3
2020-08-24Trieste CHClayR32Alexei Popyrin6-4 7-6(3)
2018-02-26DubaiHardQ2Quentin Halys7-6(5) 6-4