── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Quentin Halys 61% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Quentin Halys
Alexei Popyrin
61%39%
Hard: 60% / 40%
Clay: 54% / 46%
Grass: 61% / 39%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Quentin Halys
88th · strong
Alexei Popyrin
73th · strong
Return
Quentin Halys
15th · poor
Alexei Popyrin
25th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#54
model rank
#90
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
FRA
country
AUS
191cm
height
196cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Quentin Halys■ Alexei Popyrin
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard2–0
Clay2–2
Grass1–0
── 7 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-01-04BrisbaneHardR32Quentin Halys5-7 6-3 6-4
2023-04-24Madrid MastersClayR128Quentin Halys4-6 6-4 6-4
2022-07-11NewportGrassR32Quentin Halys7-6(5) 6-3
2022-05-09Bordeaux CHClayFAlexei Popyrin2-6 7-6(5) 7-6(4)
2020-09-07Aix En Provence CHClayR32Quentin Halys7-5 6-3
2020-08-24Trieste CHClayR32Alexei Popyrin6-4 7-6(3)
2018-02-26DubaiHardQ2Quentin Halys7-6(5) 6-4