── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Matteo Arnaldi 58% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Quentin Halys
Matteo Arnaldi
42%58%
Hard: 57% / 43%
Clay: 27% / 73%
Grass: 77% / 23%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Quentin Halys
75th · strong
Matteo Arnaldi
27th · below avg
Return
Quentin Halys
13th · poor
Matteo Arnaldi
67th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#88
model rank
#54
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
FRA
country
ITA
191cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Quentin Halys■ Matteo Arnaldi
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-13 | Barcelona | Clay | Q1 | Quentin Halys | 6-1 6-7(1) 7-6(2) |