── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Quentin Halys 59% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Quentin Halys
Matteo Arnaldi
59%41%
Hard: 62% / 38%
Clay: 40% / 60%
Grass: 74% / 26%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Quentin Halys
88th · strong
Matteo Arnaldi
29th · below avg
Return
Quentin Halys
17th · poor
Matteo Arnaldi
66th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#56
model rank
#86
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
FRA
country
ITA
191cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Quentin Halys■ Matteo Arnaldi
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Grass1–0
Clay1–0
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-06-30WimbledonGrassR128Quentin Halys3-6 6-1 7-6(5) 6-3
2026-04-13BarcelonaClayQ1Quentin Halys6-1 6-7(1) 7-6(2)