── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alexander Zverev 82% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Karen Khachanov
Alexander Zverev
18%82%
Hard: 20% / 80%
Clay: 19% / 81%
Grass: 46% / 54%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Karen Khachanov
89th · strong
Alexander Zverev
99th · elite
Return
Karen Khachanov
75th · strong
Alexander Zverev
93th · elite
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#34
model rank
#4
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
RUS
country
GER
198cm
height
198cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Karen Khachanov■ Alexander Zverev
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard3–5
Clay0–1
── 9 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-07 | Cincinnati Masters | Hard | R16 | Alexander Zverev | 7-5 3-0 RET |
| 2025-07-27 | Canada Masters | Hard | SF | Karen Khachanov | 6-3 4-6 7-6(4) |
| 2024-08-12 | Cincinnati Masters | Hard | R32 | Alexander Zverev | 6-3 6-2 |
| 2024-03-18 | Miami Masters | Hard | R16 | Alexander Zverev | 6-1 6-4 |
| 2021-07-24 | Tokyo Olympics | Hard | F | Alexander Zverev | 6-3 6-1 |
| 2019-08-05 | Canada Masters | Hard | QF | Karen Khachanov | 6-3 6-3 |
| 2018-10-29 | Paris Masters | Hard | QF | Karen Khachanov | 6-1 6-2 |
| 2018-05-28 | Roland Garros | Clay | R16 | Alexander Zverev | 4-6 7-6(4) 2-6 6-3 6-3 |
| 2016-09-19 | St. Petersburg | Hard | R32 | Alexander Zverev | 7-6(3) 6-4 |