── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Karen Khachanov 79% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Karen Khachanov
Roberto Bautista Agut
79%21%
Hard: 78% / 22%
Clay: 75% / 25%
Grass: 64% / 36%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Karen Khachanov
90th · elite
Roberto Bautista Agut
37th · below avg
Return
Karen Khachanov
81th · strong
Roberto Bautista Agut
66th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#26
model rank
#130
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
RUS
country
ESP
198cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Karen Khachanov■ Roberto Bautista Agut
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard2–4
Clay4–0
Grass0–2
── 12 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-18 | Miami Masters | Hard | R64 | Karen Khachanov | 6-3 6-3 |
| 2024-04-22 | Madrid Masters | Clay | R64 | Karen Khachanov | 3-6 6-3 7-5 |
| 2024-02-05 | Marseille | Hard | R16 | Karen Khachanov | 6-2 6-2 |
| 2023-04-24 | Madrid Masters | Clay | R32 | Karen Khachanov | 7-5 4-6 6-3 |
| 2022-02-14 | Doha | Hard | SF | Roberto Bautista Agut | 2-6 6-3 7-5 |
| 2020-08-24 | Cincinnati Masters | Hard | R16 | Roberto Bautista Agut | 4-6 6-3 6-2 |
| 2019-07-01 | Wimbledon | Grass | R32 | Roberto Bautista Agut | 6-3 7-6(3) 6-1 |
| 2019-05-13 | Rome Masters | Clay | R32 | Karen Khachanov | 5-7 6-4 6-2 |
| 2019-01-14 | Australian Open | Hard | R32 | Roberto Bautista Agut | 6-4 7-5 6-4 |
| 2018-06-18 | Halle | Grass | QF | Roberto Bautista Agut | 6-3 6-7(3) 6-3 |
| 2017-02-27 | Dubai | Hard | R32 | Roberto Bautista Agut | 6-1 7-6(4) |
| 2016-04-18 | Barcelona | Clay | R32 | Karen Khachanov | 6-2 6-7(4) 6-3 |