── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Karen Khachanov 77% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Karen Khachanov
Marco Trungelliti
77%23%
Hard: 89% / 11%
Clay: 68% / 32%
Grass: 92% / 8%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Karen Khachanov
90th · elite
Marco Trungelliti
19th · poor
Return
Karen Khachanov
81th · strong
Marco Trungelliti
31th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#26
model rank
#117
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
RUS
country
ARG
198cm
height
178cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Karen Khachanov■ Marco Trungelliti
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay3–0
── 3 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-05-27Roland GarrosClayR64Karen Khachanov7-6(5) 5-7 6-1 7-6(4)
2026-05-25Roland GarrosClayR64Karen Khachanov7-6(5) 5-7 6-1 7-6(4)
2016-04-18BarcelonaClayQ2Karen Khachanov6-3 4-6 7-6(4)