── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Karen Khachanov 71% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Karen Khachanov
Marco Trungelliti
71%29%
Hard: 90% / 10%
Clay: 66% / 34%
Grass: 92% / 8%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Karen Khachanov
89th · strong
Marco Trungelliti
23th · below avg
Return
Karen Khachanov
75th · strong
Marco Trungelliti
31th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#34
model rank
#106
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
RUS
country
ARG
198cm
height
178cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Karen KhachanovMarco Trungelliti
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay20
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-05-25Roland GarrosClayR64Karen Khachanov7-6(5) 5-7 6-1 7-6(4)
2016-04-18BarcelonaClayQ2Karen Khachanov6-3 4-6 7-6(4)