── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Karen Khachanov 86% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Karen Khachanov
Daniel Evans
86%14%
Hard: 84% / 16%
Clay: 88% / 12%
Grass: 67% / 33%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Karen Khachanov
89th · strong
Daniel Evans
6th · poor
Return
Karen Khachanov
75th · strong
Daniel Evans
30th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#34
model rank
#171
Clay
best surface
Grass
Right
hand
Right
RUS
country
GBR
198cm
height
175cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Karen Khachanov■ Daniel Evans
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–4
Clay0–1
── 6 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-24 | Dubai | Hard | R32 | Karen Khachanov | 6-1 6-3 |
| 2024-08-26 | Us Open | Hard | R128 | Daniel Evans | 6-7(6) 7-6(2) 7-6(4) 4-6 6-4 |
| 2023-04-17 | Barcelona | Clay | R16 | Daniel Evans | 6-3 6-4 |
| 2022-10-24 | Vienna | Hard | R16 | Daniel Evans | 6-2 6-2 |
| 2020-10-19 | Antwerp | Hard | QF | Daniel Evans | 3-6 7-6(7) 6-4 |
| 2020-02-10 | Rotterdam | Hard | R16 | Daniel Evans | 4-6 6-3 6-4 |