── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Karen Khachanov 77% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Karen Khachanov
Mackenzie Mcdonald
77%23%
Hard: 67% / 33%
Clay: 94% / 6%
Grass: 73% / 27%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Karen Khachanov
89th · strong
Mackenzie Mcdonald
30th · below avg
Return
Karen Khachanov
75th · strong
Mackenzie Mcdonald
42th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#34
model rank
#132
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
RUS
country
USA
198cm
height
178cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Karen Khachanov■ Mackenzie Mcdonald
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Grass3–0
Hard3–0
── 6 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-06-30 | Wimbledon | Grass | R128 | Karen Khachanov | 7-5 6-4 6-4 |
| 2025-06-09 | s Hertogenbosch | Grass | R16 | Karen Khachanov | 6-3 5-7 7-6(4) |
| 2023-09-20 | Zhuhai | Hard | QF | Karen Khachanov | 4-6 6-4 6-4 |
| 2022-02-14 | Doha | Hard | R32 | Karen Khachanov | 7-6(3) 6-3 |
| 2021-06-28 | Wimbledon | Grass | R128 | Karen Khachanov | 3-6 6-3 6-4 7-6(3) |
| 2021-03-08 | Marseille | Hard | R16 | Karen Khachanov | 7-6(4) 6-4 |