── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Karen Khachanov 62% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Karen Khachanov
Botic Van De Zandschulp
62%38%
Hard: 59% / 41%
Clay: 67% / 33%
Grass: 82% / 18%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Karen Khachanov
89th · strong
Botic Van De Zandschulp
50th · average
Return
Karen Khachanov
75th · strong
Botic Van De Zandschulp
86th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#34
model rank
#62
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
RUS
country
NED
198cm
height
191cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Karen KhachanovBotic Van De Zandschulp
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay10
Hard11
── 3 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-05-06Rome MastersClayR32Karen Khachanov5-7 6-4 6-4
2023-02-27DubaiHardR32Botic Van De Zandschulp7-5 6-2
2021-02-01Great Ocean Road OpenHardQFKaren Khachanov6-7(6) 7-5 6-3