── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Karen Khachanov 61% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Karen Khachanov
Botic Van De Zandschulp
61%39%
Hard: 57% / 43%
Clay: 68% / 32%
Grass: 81% / 19%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Karen Khachanov
89th · strong
Botic Van De Zandschulp
46th · average
Return
Karen Khachanov
81th · strong
Botic Van De Zandschulp
87th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#25
model rank
#48
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
RUS
country
NED
198cm
height
191cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Karen Khachanov■ Botic Van De Zandschulp
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay1–0
Hard1–1
── 3 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-05-06Rome MastersClayR32Karen Khachanov5-7 6-4 6-4
2023-02-27DubaiHardR32Botic Van De Zandschulp7-5 6-2
2021-02-01Great Ocean Road OpenHardQFKaren Khachanov6-7(6) 7-5 6-3