── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Karen Khachanov 77% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Karen Khachanov
Alexandre Muller
77%23%
Hard: 76% / 24%
Clay: 74% / 26%
Grass: 89% / 11%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Karen Khachanov
89th · strong
Alexandre Muller
27th · below avg
Return
Karen Khachanov
75th · strong
Alexandre Muller
37th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#34
model rank
#133
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
RUS
country
FRA
198cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Karen Khachanov■ Alexandre Muller
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–1
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-25 | Beijing | Hard | R32 | Alexandre Muller | 4-6 7-6(5) 6-4 |
| 2021-09-20 | Metz | Hard | R32 | Karen Khachanov | 4-6 6-1 6-3 |