── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Karen Khachanov 60% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Karen Khachanov
Nuno Borges
60%40%
Hard: 63% / 37%
Clay: 56% / 44%
Grass: 76% / 24%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Karen Khachanov
89th · strong
Nuno Borges
59th · average
Return
Karen Khachanov
75th · strong
Nuno Borges
44th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#34
model rank
#55
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
RUS
country
POR
198cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Karen KhachanovNuno Borges
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Grass10
Clay10
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-06-30WimbledonGrassR32Karen Khachanov7-6(6) 4-6 4-6 6-3 7-6(8)
2022-05-23Roland GarrosClayR128Karen Khachanov6-3 2-6 6-4 6-4