── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Karen Khachanov 68% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Karen Khachanov
Alex Molcan
68%32%
Hard: 79% / 21%
Clay: 64% / 36%
Grass: 74% / 26%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Karen Khachanov
90th · elite
Alex Molcan
36th · below avg
Return
Karen Khachanov
81th · strong
Alex Molcan
75th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#26
model rank
#69
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Left
RUS
country
SVK
198cm
height
178cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Karen Khachanov■ Alex Molcan
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
Clay0–1
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-02 | Beijing | Hard | R16 | Karen Khachanov | 7-5 6-3 |
| 2022-05-16 | Lyon | Clay | R16 | Alex Molcan | 6-2 7-6(4) |