── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Felix Auger Aliassime 59% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Karen Khachanov
Felix Auger Aliassime
41%59%
Hard: 41% / 59%
Clay: 49% / 51%
Grass: 45% / 55%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Karen Khachanov
90th · elite
Felix Auger Aliassime
95th · elite
Return
Karen Khachanov
81th · strong
Felix Auger Aliassime
76th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#26
model rank
#11
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
RUS
country
CAN
198cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Karen Khachanov■ Felix Auger Aliassime
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard3–1
Grass1–1
── 6 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-30 | Beijing | Hard | R32 | Karen Khachanov | 6-3 6-3 |
| 2026-09-03 | US Open | Hard | R64 | Karen Khachanov | 6-7(5) 6-3 6-2 6-2 |
| 2025-06-16 | Halle | Grass | R16 | Karen Khachanov | 6-3 1-6 6-3 |
| 2022-06-06 | s Hertogenbosch | Grass | QF | Felix Auger Aliassime | 7-6(5) 6-4 |
| 2021-08-16 | Cincinnati Masters | Hard | R32 | Felix Auger Aliassime | 6-7(5) 6-3 6-4 |
| 2019-08-05 | Canada Masters | Hard | R16 | Karen Khachanov | 6-7(7) 7-5 6-3 |