── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Karen Khachanov 78% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Karen Khachanov
Hugo Gaston
78%22%
Hard: 68% / 32%
Clay: 83% / 17%
Grass: 88% / 12%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Karen Khachanov
89th · strong
Hugo Gaston
6th · poor
Return
Karen Khachanov
75th · strong
Hugo Gaston
48th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#34
model rank
#138
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
RUS
country
FRA
198cm
height
173cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Karen Khachanov■ Hugo Gaston
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-17 | Hamburg | Clay | R32 | Karen Khachanov | 3-6 6-3 7-6(4) |