── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Karen Khachanov 67% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Karen Khachanov
Adam Walton
67%33%
Hard: 64% / 36%
Clay: 94% / 6%
Grass: 88% / 12%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Karen Khachanov
89th · strong
Adam Walton
47th · average
Return
Karen Khachanov
75th · strong
Adam Walton
35th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#34
model rank
#90
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
RUS
country
AUS
198cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Karen KhachanovAdam Walton
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay10
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-04-22Madrid MastersClayR64Karen Khachanov6-2 6-3