── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Karen Khachanov 77% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Karen Khachanov
Jesper De Jong
77%23%
Hard: 85% / 15%
Clay: 59% / 41%
Grass: 88% / 12%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Karen Khachanov
89th · strong
Jesper De Jong
26th · below avg
Return
Karen Khachanov
81th · strong
Jesper De Jong
46th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#25
model rank
#112
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
RUS
country
NED
198cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Karen Khachanov■ Jesper De Jong
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay0–1
Hard1–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-25 | Roland Garros | Clay | R32 | Jesper De Jong | 7-5 5-7 6-2 6-7(2) 6-2 |
| 2026-02-09 | Rotterdam | Hard | R32 | Karen Khachanov | 3-6 6-4 7-5 |