── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Karen Khachanov 75% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Karen Khachanov
Alexander Shevchenko
75%25%
Hard: 71% / 29%
Clay: 79% / 21%
Grass: 94% / 6%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Karen Khachanov
89th · strong
Alexander Shevchenko
20th · below avg
Return
Karen Khachanov
75th · strong
Alexander Shevchenko
28th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#34
model rank
#124
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
RUS
country
KAZ
198cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Karen Khachanov■ Alexander Shevchenko
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay2–0
Hard1–1
── 4 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-06 | Rome Masters | Clay | R64 | Karen Khachanov | 6-4 6-4 |
| 2026-02-23 | Dubai | Hard | R32 | Karen Khachanov | 6-7(5) 6-2 6-3 |
| 2024-05-06 | Rome Masters | Clay | R64 | Karen Khachanov | 6-4 6-4 |
| 2023-11-06 | Metz | Hard | QF | Alexander Shevchenko | 6-4 6-4 |