── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Karen Khachanov 58% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Karen Khachanov
Flavio Cobolli
58%42%
Hard: 71% / 29%
Clay: 45% / 55%
Grass: 60% / 40%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Karen Khachanov
90th · elite
Flavio Cobolli
41th · average
Return
Karen Khachanov
81th · strong
Flavio Cobolli
63th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#26
model rank
#36
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
RUS
country
ITA
198cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Karen Khachanov■ Flavio Cobolli
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Grass0–1
Clay1–0
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-07-04WimbledonGrassR32Flavio Cobolli0-6 7-6(4) 6-7(5) 6-2 6-2
2024-04-22Madrid MastersClayR32Karen Khachanov7-5 6-4