── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Karen Khachanov 86% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Karen Khachanov
Shintaro Mochizuki
86%14%
Hard: 86% / 14%
Clay: 89% / 11%
Grass: 64% / 36%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Karen Khachanov
89th · strong
Shintaro Mochizuki
0th · poor
Return
Karen Khachanov
75th · strong
Shintaro Mochizuki
78th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#34
model rank
#174
Clay
best surface
Grass
Right
hand
Right
RUS
country
JPN
198cm
height
175cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Karen Khachanov■ Shintaro Mochizuki
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
Grass1–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-16 | Doha | Hard | R32 | Karen Khachanov | 6-1 3-6 6-4 |
| 2025-06-30 | Wimbledon | Grass | R64 | Karen Khachanov | 1-6 7-6(7) 4-6 6-3 6-4 |