── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Karen Khachanov 74% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Karen Khachanov
Valentin Royer
74%26%
Hard: 77% / 23%
Clay: 74% / 26%
Grass: 72% / 28%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Karen Khachanov
89th · strong
Valentin Royer
43th · average
Return
Karen Khachanov
75th · strong
Valentin Royer
18th · poor

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#34
model rank
#118
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
RUS
country
FRA
198cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Karen KhachanovValentin Royer
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard10
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-08-07Cincinnati MastersHardR64Karen Khachanov6-4 7-6(6)