── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Karen Khachanov 68% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Karen Khachanov
Gabriel Diallo
68%32%
Hard: 63% / 37%
Clay: 79% / 21%
Grass: 62% / 38%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Karen Khachanov
89th · strong
Gabriel Diallo
69th · average
Return
Karen Khachanov
75th · strong
Gabriel Diallo
38th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#34
model rank
#93
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
RUS
country
CAN
198cm
height
203cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Karen Khachanov■ Gabriel Diallo
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Grass0–1
Hard3–0
── 4 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-06-09 | s Hertogenbosch | Grass | QF | Gabriel Diallo | 7-6(6) 6-4 |
| 2025-01-13 | Australian Open | Hard | R64 | Karen Khachanov | 7-6(4) 4-6 6-3 6-3 |
| 2024-10-14 | Almaty | Hard | F | Karen Khachanov | 6-2 5-7 6-3 |
| 2024-08-05 | Canada Masters | Hard | R64 | Karen Khachanov | 6-4 6-4 |