── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Karen Khachanov 66% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Karen Khachanov
Ethan Quinn
66%34%
Hard: 56% / 44%
Clay: 82% / 18%
Grass: 81% / 19%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Karen Khachanov
89th · strong
Ethan Quinn
52th · average
Return
Karen Khachanov
75th · strong
Ethan Quinn
19th · poor

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#34
model rank
#81
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
RUS
country
USA
198cm
height
191cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Karen KhachanovEthan Quinn
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard10
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-10-27Paris MastersHardR64Karen Khachanov6-1 6-1