── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Karen Khachanov 66% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Karen Khachanov
Ethan Quinn
66%34%
Hard: 61% / 39%
Clay: 82% / 18%
Grass: 66% / 34%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Karen Khachanov
89th · strong
Ethan Quinn
65th · average
Return
Karen Khachanov
81th · strong
Ethan Quinn
38th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#25
model rank
#63
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
RUS
country
USA
198cm
height
191cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Karen Khachanov■ Ethan Quinn
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Grass0–1
Hard1–0
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-06-16HalleGrassR32Ethan Quinn1-6 6-4 6-4
2025-10-27Paris MastersHardR64Karen Khachanov6-1 6-1