── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Karen Khachanov a slight 56% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Karen Khachanov
Arthur Gea
56%44%
Hard: 42% / 58%
Clay: 88% / 12%
Grass: 81% / 19%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Karen Khachanov
89th · strong
Arthur Gea
44th · average
Return
Karen Khachanov
81th · strong
Arthur Gea
84th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#25
model rank
#33
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
RUS
country
FRA
198cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Karen Khachanov■ Arthur Gea
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-25 | Roland Garros | Clay | R128 | Karen Khachanov | 6-3 7-6(3) 6-0 |