── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Karen Khachanov 68% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Karen Khachanov
Nishesh Basavareddy
68%32%
Hard: 68% / 32%
Clay: 77% / 23%
Grass: 91% / 9%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Karen Khachanov
89th · strong
Nishesh Basavareddy
19th · poor
Return
Karen Khachanov
75th · strong
Nishesh Basavareddy
47th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#34
model rank
#91
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
RUS
country
USA
198cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Karen KhachanovNishesh Basavareddy
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard20
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-01-19Australian OpenHardR64Karen Khachanov6-1 6-4 6-3
2025-08-25Us OpenHardR128Karen Khachanov6-7(5) 6-3 7-5 6-1