── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Roberto Carballes Baena 56% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Sumit Nagal
Roberto Carballes Baena
44%56%
Hard: 38% / 62%
Clay: 43% / 57%
Grass: 36% / 64%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Sumit Nagal
2th · poor
Roberto Carballes Baena
22th · below avg
Return
Sumit Nagal
49th · average
Roberto Carballes Baena
58th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#163
model rank
#147
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
IND
country
ESP
178cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Sumit NagalRoberto Carballes Baena
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay10
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-09-29Braga CHClayR16Sumit Nagal5-7 4-1 RET