── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Roberto Carballes Baena a slight 51% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Sumit Nagal
Roberto Carballes Baena
49%51%
Hard: 39% / 61%
Clay: 47% / 53%
Grass: 36% / 64%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Sumit Nagal
4th · poor
Roberto Carballes Baena
24th · below avg
Return
Sumit Nagal
41th · average
Roberto Carballes Baena
45th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#171
model rank
#167
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
IND
country
ESP
178cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Sumit Nagal■ Roberto Carballes Baena
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-29 | Braga CH | Clay | R16 | Sumit Nagal | 5-7 4-1 RET |