── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Cristian Garin 60% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Michael Mmoh
Cristian Garin
40%60%
Hard: 65% / 35%
Clay: 18% / 82%
Grass: 31% / 69%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Michael Mmoh
11th · poor
Cristian Garin
31th · below avg
Return
Michael Mmoh
54th · average
Cristian Garin
72th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#139
model rank
#99
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
CHI
188cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Michael MmohCristian Garin
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard20
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-01-05Hong KongHardQ1Michael Mmoh3-6 6-3 7-5
2018-02-05San Francisco CHHardR32Michael Mmoh6-2 6-3