── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Cristian Garin 65% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Michael Mmoh
Cristian Garin
35%65%
Hard: 58% / 42%
Clay: 17% / 83%
Grass: 22% / 78%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Michael Mmoh
6th · poor
Cristian Garin
28th · below avg
Return
Michael Mmoh
59th · average
Cristian Garin
65th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#159
model rank
#98
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
CHI
188cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Michael Mmoh■ Cristian Garin
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard2–0
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-01-05Hong KongHardQ1Michael Mmoh3-6 6-3 7-5
2018-02-05San Francisco CHHardR32Michael Mmoh6-2 6-3