── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Daniil Medvedev 75% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Kamil Majchrzak
Daniil Medvedev
25%75%
Hard: 16% / 84%
Clay: 26% / 74%
Grass: 47% / 53%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Kamil Majchrzak
64th · average
Daniil Medvedev
82th · strong
Return
Kamil Majchrzak
74th · strong
Daniil Medvedev
98th · elite
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#60
model rank
#8
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
POL
country
RUS
180cm
height
198cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Kamil Majchrzak■ Daniil Medvedev
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Grass1–0
Hard0–1
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-13 | 's-Hertogenbosch | Grass | SF | Kamil Majchrzak | 7-6(4) 6-1 |
| 2026-01-04 | Brisbane | Hard | QF | Daniil Medvedev | 6-7(4) 6-3 6-2 |