── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Karen Khachanov 65% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Kamil Majchrzak
Karen Khachanov
35%65%
Hard: 36% / 64%
Clay: 31% / 69%
Grass: 39% / 61%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Kamil Majchrzak
49th · average
Karen Khachanov
89th · strong
Return
Kamil Majchrzak
71th · strong
Karen Khachanov
75th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#72
model rank
#34
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
POL
country
RUS
180cm
height
198cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Kamil MajchrzakKaren Khachanov
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard10
Grass02
Clay02
── 5 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-08-25Us OpenHardR64Kamil Majchrzak2-6 6-7(4) 6-4 7-5 7-6(5)
2025-06-30WimbledonGrassR16Karen Khachanov6-4 6-2 6-3
2022-06-06s HertogenboschGrassR16Karen Khachanov5-7 7-5 7-6(5)
2021-05-17LyonClayR16Karen Khachanov7-6(4) 6-3
2020-09-28Roland GarrosClayR128Karen Khachanov7-6(3) 6-3 6-3