── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Kamil Majchrzak 68% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Kamil Majchrzak
Nicolas Jarry
68%32%
Hard: 70% / 30%
Clay: 50% / 50%
Grass: 65% / 35%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Kamil Majchrzak
64th · average
Nicolas Jarry
85th · strong
Return
Kamil Majchrzak
74th · strong
Nicolas Jarry
10th · poor

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#60
model rank
#132
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
POL
country
CHI
180cm
height
201cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Kamil Majchrzak■ Nicolas Jarry
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard2–0
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-08-17Winston-SalemHardR64Kamil Majchrzak7-6(6) 6-4
2019-08-26US OpenHardR128Kamil Majchrzak6-7(2) 7-6(5) 7-6(6) 1-6 6-4