── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Kamil Majchrzak 63% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Kamil Majchrzak
Nicolas Jarry
63%37%
Hard: 71% / 29%
Clay: 49% / 51%
Grass: 54% / 46%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Kamil Majchrzak
49th · average
Nicolas Jarry
81th · strong
Return
Kamil Majchrzak
71th · strong
Nicolas Jarry
12th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#72
model rank
#126
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
POL
country
CHI
180cm
height
201cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Kamil Majchrzak■ Nicolas Jarry
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard2–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-17 | Winston-Salem | Hard | R64 | Kamil Majchrzak | 7-6(6) 6-4 |
| 2019-08-26 | US Open | Hard | R128 | Kamil Majchrzak | 6-7(2) 7-6(5) 7-6(6) 1-6 6-4 |