── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Kamil Majchrzak 56% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Kamil Majchrzak
Reilly Opelka
56%44%
Hard: 49% / 51%
Clay: 67% / 33%
Grass: 71% / 29%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Kamil Majchrzak
49th · average
Reilly Opelka
96th · elite
Return
Kamil Majchrzak
71th · strong
Reilly Opelka
0th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#72
model rank
#100
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
POL
country
USA
180cm
height
211cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Kamil Majchrzak■ Reilly Opelka
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–1
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-04 | Brisbane | Hard | R16 | Kamil Majchrzak | 6-7(2) 7-6(7) 7-6(8) |
| 2018-01-01 | Playford CH | Hard | R16 | Reilly Opelka | 7-6(9) 7-6(8) |