── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Kamil Majchrzak 61% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Kamil Majchrzak
Lorenzo Sonego
61%39%
Hard: 49% / 51%
Clay: 67% / 33%
Grass: 66% / 34%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Kamil Majchrzak
64th · average
Lorenzo Sonego
71th · strong
Return
Kamil Majchrzak
74th · strong
Lorenzo Sonego
29th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#60
model rank
#99
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
POL
country
ITA
180cm
height
191cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Kamil Majchrzak■ Lorenzo Sonego
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard1–0
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-09-28TokyoHardQ1Kamil Majchrzak7-5 6-2