── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alex De Minaur 74% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Kamil Majchrzak
Alex De Minaur
26%74%
Hard: 21% / 79%
Clay: 25% / 75%
Grass: 39% / 61%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Kamil Majchrzak
64th · average
Alex De Minaur
72th · strong
Return
Kamil Majchrzak
74th · strong
Alex De Minaur
99th · elite
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#60
model rank
#10
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
POL
country
AUS
180cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Kamil Majchrzak■ Alex De Minaur
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard0–3
Grass1–0
── 4 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 | Davis Cup WG1 R1: AUS vs POL | Hard | RR | Alex De Minaur | 6-3 6-3 |
| 2026-06-14 | 's-Hertogenbosch | Grass | F | Kamil Majchrzak | 6-3 2-6 7-6(5) |
| 2025-10-01 | Shanghai Masters | Hard | R32 | Alex De Minaur | 6-1 7-5 |
| 2022-01-17 | Australian Open | Hard | R64 | Alex De Minaur | 6-4 6-4 6-2 |