── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Kamil Majchrzak 59% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Kamil Majchrzak
Alexei Popyrin
59%41%
Hard: 56% / 44%
Clay: 43% / 57%
Grass: 86% / 14%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Kamil Majchrzak
64th · average
Alexei Popyrin
73th · strong
Return
Kamil Majchrzak
74th · strong
Alexei Popyrin
25th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#60
model rank
#90
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
POL
country
AUS
180cm
height
196cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Kamil Majchrzak■ Alexei Popyrin
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard0–2
Clay1–0
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-23 | Dubai | Hard | R32 | Alexei Popyrin | 3-6 6-3 7-5 |
| 2021-05-10 | Rome Masters | Clay | Q1 | Kamil Majchrzak | 7-6(6) 6-7(4) 6-3 |
| 2018-02-12 | Cherbourg CH | Hard | R32 | Alexei Popyrin | 6-3 2-1 RET |