── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Kamil Majchrzak 74% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Kamil Majchrzak
Sho Shimabukuro
74%26%
Hard: 72% / 28%
Clay: 85% / 15%
Grass: 70% / 30%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Kamil Majchrzak
64th · average
Sho Shimabukuro
15th · poor
Return
Kamil Majchrzak
74th · strong
Sho Shimabukuro
30th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#60
model rank
#155
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
POL
country
JPN
180cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Kamil Majchrzak■ Sho Shimabukuro
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Grass1–1
Hard1–0
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-01 | Birmingham CH | Grass | QF | Kamil Majchrzak | 7-6(6) 6-3 |
| 2025-06-09 | Ilkley CH | Grass | R32 | Sho Shimabukuro | 6-4 6-4 |
| 2022-10-03 | Tokyo | Hard | R32 | Kamil Majchrzak | 7-6(2) 6-2 |