── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Kamil Majchrzak 72% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Kamil Majchrzak
Jacob Fearnley
72%28%
Hard: 70% / 30%
Clay: 56% / 44%
Grass: 69% / 31%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Kamil Majchrzak
49th · average
Jacob Fearnley
7th · poor
Return
Kamil Majchrzak
71th · strong
Jacob Fearnley
67th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#72
model rank
#158
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
POL
country
GBR
180cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Kamil MajchrzakJacob Fearnley
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard11
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-01-19Australian OpenHardR128Kamil Majchrzak7-6(2) 7-5 3-6 7-6(3)
2024-10-14StockholmHardQ2Jacob Fearnley3-6 6-3 7-6(2)