── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Nicolas Jarry a slight 51% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Nicolas Jarry
Adrian Mannarino
51%49%
Hard: 34% / 66%
Clay: 89% / 11%
Grass: 41% / 59%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Nicolas Jarry
81th · strong
Adrian Mannarino
22th · below avg
Return
Nicolas Jarry
12th · poor
Adrian Mannarino
56th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#126
model rank
#130
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
CHI
country
FRA
201cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Nicolas Jarry■ Adrian Mannarino
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Grass0–1
Hard1–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-06-02 | Birmingham CH | Grass | R16 | Adrian Mannarino | 7-6(6) 6-3 |
| 2023-10-23 | Basel | Hard | R32 | Nicolas Jarry | 7-6(6) 6-7(2) 6-4 |