── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Grigor Dimitrov 73% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Nicolas Jarry
Grigor Dimitrov
27%73%
Hard: 17% / 83%
Clay: 43% / 57%
Grass: 30% / 70%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Nicolas Jarry
81th · strong
Grigor Dimitrov
87th · strong
Return
Nicolas Jarry
12th · poor
Grigor Dimitrov
80th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#126
model rank
#41
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
CHI
country
BUL
201cm
height
191cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Nicolas Jarry■ Grigor Dimitrov
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay2–2
Hard0–1
── 5 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-23 | Madrid Masters | Clay | R64 | Grigor Dimitrov | 6-3 6-4 |
| 2025-04-07 | Monte Carlo Masters | Clay | R64 | Grigor Dimitrov | 6-3 6-4 |
| 2023-10-02 | Shanghai Masters | Hard | QF | Grigor Dimitrov | 7-6(2) 6-4 |
| 2023-05-22 | Geneva | Clay | F | Nicolas Jarry | 7-6(1) 6-1 |
| 2019-04-22 | Barcelona | Clay | R16 | Nicolas Jarry | 2-6 6-4 7-6(2) |