── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Cameron Norrie 73% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Nicolas Jarry
Cameron Norrie
27%73%
Hard: 21% / 79%
Clay: 34% / 66%
Grass: 51% / 49%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Nicolas Jarry
85th · strong
Cameron Norrie
66th · average
Return
Nicolas Jarry
10th · poor
Cameron Norrie
77th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#132
model rank
#38
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Left
CHI
country
GBR
201cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Nicolas Jarry■ Cameron Norrie
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Grass0–1
Clay0–1
Hard1–0
── 3 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-06-30WimbledonGrassR16Cameron Norrie6-3 7-6(4) 6-7(7) 6-7(5) 6-3
2019-05-13Rome MastersClayQ2Cameron Norrie6-3 4-6 7-6(6)
2018-03-19Miami MastersHardR128Nicolas Jarry7-6(3) 6-2