── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Cameron Norrie 75% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Nicolas Jarry
Cameron Norrie
25%75%
Hard: 20% / 80%
Clay: 34% / 66%
Grass: 38% / 62%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Nicolas Jarry
81th · strong
Cameron Norrie
64th · average
Return
Nicolas Jarry
12th · poor
Cameron Norrie
70th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#126
model rank
#36
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Left
CHI
country
GBR
201cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Nicolas JarryCameron Norrie
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Grass01
Clay01
Hard10
── 3 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-06-30WimbledonGrassR16Cameron Norrie6-3 7-6(4) 6-7(7) 6-7(5) 6-3
2019-05-13Rome MastersClayQ2Cameron Norrie6-3 4-6 7-6(6)
2018-03-19Miami MastersHardR128Nicolas Jarry7-6(3) 6-2