── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Nicolas Jarry 58% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Nicolas Jarry
Pedro Martinez
58%42%
Hard: 49% / 51%
Clay: 65% / 35%
Grass: 84% / 16%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Nicolas Jarry
81th · strong
Pedro Martinez
3th · poor
Return
Nicolas Jarry
12th · poor
Pedro Martinez
41th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#126
model rank
#151
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
CHI
country
ESP
201cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Nicolas Jarry■ Pedro Martinez
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard0–1
Clay1–1
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-07 | Cincinnati Masters | Hard | R128 | Pedro Martinez | 1-6 6-4 6-3 |
| 2023-02-20 | Rio De Janeiro | Clay | R16 | Nicolas Jarry | 6-2 6-2 |
| 2022-07-25 | Kitzbuhel | Clay | R32 | Pedro Martinez | 7-6(4) 6-3 |