── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Reilly Opelka 57% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Nicolas Jarry
Reilly Opelka
43%57%
Hard: 28% / 72%
Clay: 68% / 32%
Grass: 68% / 32%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Nicolas Jarry
81th · strong
Reilly Opelka
96th · elite
Return
Nicolas Jarry
12th · poor
Reilly Opelka
0th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#126
model rank
#100
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
CHI
country
USA
201cm
height
211cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Nicolas Jarry■ Reilly Opelka
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Grass0–1
Clay1–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-06-09 | s Hertogenbosch | Grass | R16 | Reilly Opelka | 7-6(5) 6-3 |
| 2017-05-29 | Roland Garros | Clay | Q3 | Nicolas Jarry | 7-6(4) 3-6 6-3 |