── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Daniel Altmaier a slight 55% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Nicolas Jarry
Daniel Altmaier
45%55%
Hard: 48% / 52%
Clay: 45% / 55%
Grass: 74% / 26%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Nicolas Jarry
85th · strong
Daniel Altmaier
34th · below avg
Return
Nicolas Jarry
10th · poor
Daniel Altmaier
32th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#132
model rank
#108
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
CHI
country
GER
201cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Nicolas Jarry■ Daniel Altmaier
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay1–1
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-04-23Madrid MastersClayR128Nicolas Jarry6-3 6-2
2021-08-16Luedenscheid CHClayFDaniel Altmaier7-6(1) 4-6 6-3