── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Nicolas Jarry a slight 51% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Nicolas Jarry
Pavel Kotov
51%49%
Hard: 33% / 67%
Clay: 74% / 26%
Grass: 83% / 17%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Nicolas Jarry
85th · strong
Pavel Kotov
38th · below avg
Return
Nicolas Jarry
10th · poor
Pavel Kotov
6th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#132
model rank
#140
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
CHI
country
RUS
201cm
height
191cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Nicolas Jarry■ Pavel Kotov
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Grass1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-06-30 | Wimbledon | Grass | Q1 | Nicolas Jarry | 7-6(5) 6-1 |