── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Nicolas Jarry a slight 53% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Nicolas Jarry
Hugo Gaston
53%47%
Hard: 33% / 67%
Clay: 70% / 30%
Grass: 79% / 21%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Nicolas Jarry
81th · strong
Hugo Gaston
6th · poor
Return
Nicolas Jarry
12th · poor
Hugo Gaston
48th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#126
model rank
#138
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
CHI
country
FRA
201cm
height
173cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Nicolas Jarry■ Hugo Gaston
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-07 | Rome Masters | Clay | R128 | Nicolas Jarry | 7-6(4) 6-4 |