── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Nicolas Jarry 60% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Nicolas Jarry
Jurij Rodionov
60%40%
Hard: 47% / 53%
Clay: 72% / 28%
Grass: 77% / 23%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Nicolas Jarry
81th · strong
Jurij Rodionov
14th · poor
Return
Nicolas Jarry
12th · poor
Jurij Rodionov
17th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#126
model rank
#155
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
CHI
country
AUT
201cm
height
191cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Nicolas Jarry■ Jurij Rodionov
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–1
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-06 | Madrid CH | Clay | SF | Jurij Rodionov | 6-7(6) 7-6(4) 7-6(4) |
| 2019-02-01 | Davis Cup QLS R1: AUT vs CHI | Clay | RR | Nicolas Jarry | 7-5 7-5 |