── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Jannik Sinner 98% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Nicolas Jarry
Jannik Sinner
2%98%
Hard: 1% / 99%
Clay: 6% / 94%
Grass: 10% / 90%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Nicolas Jarry
81th · strong
Jannik Sinner
100th · elite
Return
Nicolas Jarry
12th · poor
Jannik Sinner
100th · elite
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#126
model rank
#1
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
CHI
country
ITA
201cm
height
191cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Nicolas Jarry■ Jannik Sinner
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard0–2
Grass1–0
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-13 | Australian Open | Hard | R128 | Jannik Sinner | 7-6(2) 7-6(5) 6-1 |
| 2024-09-26 | Beijing | Hard | R32 | Jannik Sinner | 4-6 6-3 6-1 |
| 2019-06-10 | s Hertogenbosch | Grass | R32 | Nicolas Jarry | 7-6(4) 6-3 |