── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Juan Manuel Cerundolo 69% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Nicolas Jarry
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
31%69%
Hard: 49% / 51%
Clay: 35% / 65%
Grass: 92% / 8%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Nicolas Jarry
81th · strong
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
38th · below avg
Return
Nicolas Jarry
12th · poor
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
66th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#126
model rank
#51
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Left
CHI
country
ARG
201cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Nicolas JarryJuan Manuel Cerundolo
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay30
── 3 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-02-17Rio de JaneiroClayR32Nicolas Jarry4-6 6-3 6-4
2023-02-20Rio De JaneiroClayQ2Nicolas Jarry6-2 6-3
2021-10-25Lima 2 CHClayFNicolas Jarry6-2 7-5