── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Mariano Navone 76% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Nicolas Jarry
Mariano Navone
24%76%
Hard: 45% / 55%
Clay: 27% / 73%
Grass: 87% / 13%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Nicolas Jarry
81th · strong
Mariano Navone
28th · below avg
Return
Nicolas Jarry
12th · poor
Mariano Navone
97th · elite
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#126
model rank
#32
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
CHI
country
ARG
201cm
height
178cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Nicolas Jarry■ Mariano Navone
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-12-30 | Brisbane | Hard | R32 | Nicolas Jarry | 7-5 7-6(7) |