── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Mariano Navone 71% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Nicolas Jarry
Mariano Navone
29%71%
Hard: 35% / 65%
Clay: 31% / 69%
Grass: 88% / 12%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Nicolas Jarry
85th · strong
Mariano Navone
32th · below avg
Return
Nicolas Jarry
10th · poor
Mariano Navone
96th · elite
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#132
model rank
#50
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
CHI
country
ARG
201cm
height
178cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Nicolas Jarry■ Mariano Navone
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-12-30 | Brisbane | Hard | R32 | Nicolas Jarry | 7-5 7-6(7) |