── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Nicolas Jarry 61% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Nicolas Jarry
Dominic Stricker
61%39%
Hard: 54% / 46%
Clay: 69% / 31%
Grass: 66% / 34%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Nicolas Jarry
85th · strong
Dominic Stricker
35th · below avg
Return
Nicolas Jarry
10th · poor
Dominic Stricker
9th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#131
model rank
#170
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Left
CHI
country
SUI
201cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Nicolas Jarry■ Dominic Stricker
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-06 | Madrid CH | Clay | R16 | Nicolas Jarry | 6-2 7-6(5) |