── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Luciano Darderi 75% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Nicolas Jarry
Luciano Darderi
25%75%
Hard: 52% / 48%
Clay: 24% / 76%
Grass: 76% / 24%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Nicolas Jarry
81th · strong
Luciano Darderi
62th · average
Return
Nicolas Jarry
12th · poor
Luciano Darderi
74th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#126
model rank
#37
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
CHI
country
ITA
201cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Nicolas Jarry■ Luciano Darderi
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Grass1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-06-09 | s Hertogenbosch | Grass | R32 | Nicolas Jarry | 5-7 6-4 7-6(3) |