── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Nicolas Jarry 58% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Nicolas Jarry
Tristan Schoolkate
58%42%
Hard: 46% / 54%
Clay: 88% / 12%
Grass: 64% / 36%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Nicolas Jarry
85th · strong
Tristan Schoolkate
39th · below avg
Return
Nicolas Jarry
10th · poor
Tristan Schoolkate
8th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#132
model rank
#158
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
CHI
country
AUS
201cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Nicolas Jarry■ Tristan Schoolkate
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Grass1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-06-02 | Birmingham CH | Grass | R32 | Nicolas Jarry | 6-7(8) 6-4 6-4 |