── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Learner Tien 81% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Nicolas Jarry
Learner Tien
19%81%
Hard: 14% / 86%
Clay: 44% / 56%
Grass: 69% / 31%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Nicolas Jarry
85th · strong
Learner Tien
63th · average
Return
Nicolas Jarry
10th · poor
Learner Tien
95th · elite
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#132
model rank
#22
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
CHI
country
USA
201cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Nicolas Jarry■ Learner Tien
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Grass2–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-06-30 | Wimbledon | Grass | R64 | Nicolas Jarry | 6-2 6-2 6-3 |
| 2025-06-16 | Halle | Grass | Q1 | Nicolas Jarry | 6-3 6-4 |